Friday, September 30, 2016

Jungle me Mangal !!

Jungle me Mangal

Implies => Festivity in... Bihar forests !!


FEW QUESTIONS and THOUGHTS -

1) Over the last few days... we have seen that one of the MOST learned and high-flying ex-judges of the Supreme Court- Janab MarkAndeya Katju Saheb Ji Maharaj made a reference to Bihar and the whole of the Bihar top leaders ( this includes the Bihar CM, the Dy. CM ( Mr LPY's son ) as well; and... SuMo - the BJP Chieftain ) took the gravest exception.

Seems like... that... these Bihar leaders might be sans any real sense of humor... this is... as per Janab Katju Saheb. Further, seemingly... some Bihar people may have inferiority complex of... some sorts... is a question that may arise in anyone's fertile mind, in this context.

Frankly... this is NOT expected of the TOP Bihar leaders. And, they do NOT have to go on to explain Bihar's legacy... and... the Golden past... as some sort of a justification... to the contrary... interpretations ?


What a BULL ?

Actually, perhaps... the Bihar leaders have to set new path-breaking grounds ? And... walk the talk ?

Perhaps... they are not really upto it... is that the reason that these Bihar 'leaders' are choosing to... be gloating over Bihar's past ? Golden days ?

What about the present day Bihar ?

Are these leaders... really... AND... truly... representative of Bihar's true legacy ?

IMPORTANT QUESTION -
What sorts of legacy these leaders might leave behind themselves ? Is something whose answer, to some certain extent, must be sought within this post, by the readers. Which remains... one of the key objectives of this post.

...

Incidentally, I being originally from Bihar myself - had a hearty laugh... after... quite a while. See... I had told in my previous post/ earlier to watch out for... Janab MarkAndeya Katju Saheb Ji Maharaj. For... his livewire brand of wit, wisdom... and humor. That he has wit is obvious from such a wise crack ( ? ) on a set of fellow Indians - Biharis.

...

Make no mistakes...

No doubt the best of the military strategeists and think tanks of THE land left Indra-Prastha ( seems like Lord Indra was made to depart from here ) aka  Hastina-Pur ( or, Hasti-Napur ? ) and they smartly chose Patal-i-Putra ( modern day Patna. ) ( Btw... why alluding to 'Patal' and 'Putra' in the word- Patal-i-Putra ? ) as the seat of power of the great Magadhan empires. Owing to... perhaps continual threats and hordes of the marauders appearing on the NWFP and Afghan fronts, courtesy the waves and waves of them... barbarians... of yore.

This was more than 2000 years back. Those times, and even now, best brains of the land resided in Magadha. Like... ( say ) Chana-Kya.

Now...
There is a lore that Chana-Kya's father died quite early, whilst he was a kid. Fact is... Chana-Kya was very devoted to his mother. The mother/ son lived in almost abject penury. And... in his early days... when Chana-Kya wanted to get hold of some of his fav. Chanas ( grams ) to satiate his hunger... he was seen going around and asking for Chana... "Chana Kya ?" Hence...

Btw... I guess Chana-Kya was very fond of Sattu.

Would anyone believe that a Kerala Namboodiri priest will have a name like Chana-Kya ? Never.

So... do I make clear... once and for all whether... Chana-Kya was from Bihar or Kerala ?

Be your own judge !!

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...
...

Now... we have to really assess whether Janab Katju Saheb Ji has any real wisdom ? Knowing that... he is actually an expert on his domain... of the "sea of the laws" ( compared to the "laws of the seas" of ze Capt. )... having waded through them choppy seas/ waters through-out his professional life ? And... using the 'gyaan' and the interpretation... having meted justice to countless people out of his wisdom/ knowledge/ perception / interpretation of the laws of the land ? Over the past 35-50 years of his chequered career ?

How come... after knowing so much of Indian laws... and each and every nuances thereof... he is actually threatened by the Bihar CM and other top leaders... of being booked under sedition laws ? Sans a proper explanation or apology ?

Why ? Why so ?

Why is an explanation or apology sufficient enough for situations that might really require booking Mr Katju ( and, such similarly placed individuals ) under some cock-and-bull sedition law(s) ? Under whatever pretext ?

Seems like- there is some lacuna here ? Sure... there is.

For... there cannot and must not be... any... ifs and buts. Diverse interpretations. One has to see any/ all the underlying (c)overt - intent, motive and motivations ?

But... at the end of this all... bending before the threat of probable/ impending court cases... Katju Saheb Ji chooses to apologise. I guess... he should NEVER have done that... being a former SC judge. Thereby, he himself sets a wrong precedent. Actually... admitting that he made a mistake. By choosing to be pliable... he lost out being a role model... for the naive public, at large. He should have clearly thought out the consequences, before tweeting, being an honorable and highly knowledgeable SC ex-Judge.

This act of his actually implied... that either - 1) he actually really DID made a 'genuine' mistake in the eyes of law ? ; Else... 2) he, in all his wisdom, did not want to get involved with the Bihar 'leadership' and in fighting court cases ? Else... 3) All his life he has NOT been really too good at interpreting laws. Does this imply that this might have impacted his judgments, and meting out justice to all and sundry ? are questions... that obviously arises... and... that might still confront and... confound/ confuse anyone/ everyone.


QUESTION -
Seems like... is it that Janab Katju Saheb Ji does NOT know the Indian laws good enough, is a question that confronts all ? Else, why might he make statements that might expose him to the risk of being booked under sedition laws ?

Now... are there to be cases whence... one is booked under 'almost dead and not as per the times' laws under the whims and fancies of anyone in power ? Say... what about... were this to happen to a... Supreme Court ex-judge ? In which case, I guess that ALL the legal luminaries across the country might gang up against the legislature, and well. For... this precedent... exposes them to potential future risks of similar such 'entrapments' ?


Significantly...
Is it possible that... (Mis)use of any law(s) ( esp. draconian laws ) might be construed as having some... underlying criminal or political intent by those in governance consenting to its' application on ( say ) some particular case basis ? is a question and a serious challenge... the legislators and the legal fraternity MUST seek to resolve. Public MUST put adequate pressure for this. In which case there MUST be... severe liability and penalty for those in authority - initiating brazen misuse of laws against peaceful and innocent individuals.

Seems like... Janab MarkAndeya Katju Saheb Ji Maharaj should have used the word "Biharis" instead of "Bihar". That might have still served the purpose, rather well.

Correct ?

Seems like... he was presumably suggestive of the dismemberment of the country. So... sedition laws come into picture ?

One may wonder -
How very insensitive of an ex-justice of the SC to remotely suggest the dismemberment of India ?  ( This is in lighter vein ) Actually, he should have suggested... take along... at least 25 % / 35 % / 50 % of the Biharis along with the Kashmir package.

And... trust me... Biharis are good enough to solve all the Indian problems once inside Pakistan. That might have been a 'REAL' "diplomatic" offer. In effect- sufficient number of Biharis inside Pakistan might have meant... amalgamation of Pakistan with rest of India. So, the Pakistan problem would have become a non-issue within 6-12 years time. And... a truly lasting solution for all the Indian problems in South Asia. I am sure, those who want Kashmir so bad enough might still have agreed. Depends on the level and depth of the Pakistani wit and wisdom. Actually... Punjabi Sunni brand of wit, wisdom and foresight.

But, who am I to question and provide solution to... the likes of... the beguiling suggestions of... Janab MarkAndeya Katju Saheb Ji Maharaj ?

Not sure... if he was really serious ? Or, whether he had any bad blood with any Bihar folks ? And... why so ?

...

Quite a few legal and politcial animals/ people make and break people's life... at the drop of a hat/ cap... their judgements... and their pen !!


AS AN ASIDE -
BTW... if the Bihari muslims ( Mozahirs ) had reached Pakistan in sufficient numbers then, I guess, by now Pakistan would have ceased to be a thorn for us Indians ? is a question that may confront any/ all ?



2) Once again... coming from an ex-justice ( honorable ) of the SC Janab MarkAndeya Katju Saheb Ji ( honorable again ) Maharaj is the following pearl of an article on Bihar's prohibition... and the recently (re)enacted prohibition laws -

( Seems like - Janab MarkAndeya Katju Saheb Ji Maharaj has a penchant for things... from Bihar. What might be the real root cause ? )

http://thewire.in/59093/bihars-draconian-prohibition-law-will-drive-trade-underground/

After reading the above post...

QUESTION -
Assuming that the Bihar CM's position on prohibition is guided by his political aims and aspirations rather than social benefits.

Can Mr NK, the Bihar CM, ever hope and aim to win in a major way, in the LS polls in 2019 or even the state assembly polls in 2020 ?

Are the natural questions that comes to one.


3) When I read the above posts... and the nitty-gritties thereof, I recall the wise advice I had receieved vide the blog posts... from Shri Rajeev Kr KulShreshta Ji ( almost more than three years back )... this free advice is... freely available for all... and sundry...

@ searchoftruth-rajeev.blogspot.in , and

@ OhMyGod-rajeev.blogspot.in


else one of his other web-sites... powered by him.

In this post... he advises... in case, one wants to have a peaceful, dignified, contented and happy existence then one MUST willfully stay away from the... "THREE COATS" .

He explained thus... the three coats as -

a) petti-coats

( petty coat ain't that petty he suggested; esp. for those seeking to walk the spiritual path in any manner ).

A veritable trap, of sorts.

Two epic examples follow -

Ravana tried to get Sita. Was eventually ensnared and entrapped. This destroyed him and his entire clan.

Su-Yodhan and Su-Shashan... tried to unravel Draupadi's sari in the court room. This eventually led them being labelled... Dur-Yodhan and Duh-Shashan... and, led to the MahaBharata war... which eliminated the entire clan of the Kauravas.


b) Black-coats

Perhaps... some of the lawyers and their penchant for getting their clients in endless court cases that destroys their clients and renders these black-coats - outwardly happy and peaceful; and... for sure- prosperous and much dignified. Whilst the same/ similar resources are sucked out of their clients, drop-by-drop. For... quite few of these guys... court proceedings are like... open-ended... wind-falls for them... that draws on for, say - 5-10-20-30-40-50 years, on occassions.

Perhaps the post might have implied the judges, as well.

Perhaps the whole trade/ traders of law - all form, format and scale.

That... one must seriously stay away from these guys. No matter how... and... no matter what ? Those... wearing black coats and robes !! if one has to stay peaceful and not embrolied in any disturbances in life.

I take this advice... rather seriously.


c) White-coats

Not sure here what coat he implied. I recall that he might have referred to the 'white coat' worn by the doctors / nurses.

One must always perennially strive to stay hale... and hearty... and healthy.

i.e. so that one MUST not be ever taken sick or ill. So that... one does NOT have to be under the guidance of a nurse or a doctor ( wearing white coats ).

This way... one is safe from the myriad of the clutches of... these 'white coats'. Always and ever.

To get the real gist of his message... one must visit his blog to find that particular post. Verbatim.

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...
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His blogs are... master-pieces of sorts. Going by the depth of his knowledge and the sheer command over the language he possesses.

He... reveals... quite some... truths.

And... he throws quite some light on the spiritual aspects of Sanatana Dharma. At the same time... trashing the religious aspects of spirituality. Tantra... generally and mostly... deals with the religious aspects. It never takes one to SatyaPurush and SachKhand, per him. If I got him right. Tantra... might be all about and around the KAAL PURUSH. To start with... he recommends going through "Anurag Sagar" and... "Kabir Bijak".

...
...
...

Coming to the point... have seriously taken his advice... for good. Knowing that the same is coming from a... SANT.

So... my resolve to stay away from these three-coats... or turn-coats... no matter what... refrains me from getting sucked in any bhortex... nay, vortex that retards may design, create and lay... for ensnaring... some other retards.

Frankly... I do NOT come in the picture. Anyone tries to get me in the picture... chances are... you destroy yourself.

For... am I perhaps... good... from where I come from !! And... am I going to prove how ?

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...
...

Now... in this context... coming to the 'white coats'... some revelations here...

Fact remains that... my physical well-being was nuked by two allopathic retards... posing as 'expert' doctors. That somehow... seems to have taken me out... from the game of life, over the last so many years. Else... who knows I might have been good enough to float enterprises that might have employed... ze guys who can condense 120 line codes to 4 lines. Many of them... smarties.

Truly and humbly stating.

I suppose it might be time that some of these incompetent docs... face... some real heat. Desirably, intending to engineer a mega-split in their massive earnings.


<< --- End of FEW QUESTIONS and THOUGHTS --- >>



MAIN BODY OF THIS POST -

Refernce #2 above...

The current JDU Chief who is the Bihar CM has ruled Bihar as CM for over 10 years, in alliance with NDA ( read, this => BJP => RSS ).

During two consecutive terms, that is - 1) 2005 to 2010 and, 2) From - 2010 to 2015 term. As the Bihar CM.

Over these same years, the revenue accruals of the Excise Dept. went almost TEN folds. From almost INR 500-600 crores/ annum levels in the fiscal 2004-2005 to almost INR 5,000-6,000 crores/ annum levels in the fiscal 2014-2015.
IRONICALLY...
During the same period of a decade long rule under Mr Nitish Kumar, Bihar saw a TEN fold increase in the number of Govt. sponsored liquor outlets. So... a jump from 600+ outlets to something like 6000 outlets !! If this is the bare truth...

Can anyone believe this ? This... Su-Shaasan thingy ?

Was that an indicator of- Mr NK's "Nischay" ( = resolve ) right after... 2005 ? For... Mr NK is known for his "Nischay" ( = resolve ) alone !

In case Mr NK had not imposed prohibition in Bihar and he were to rule for another two terms... i.e. from 2015 till 2025... then might we have seen these outlet numbers increasing to... a whopping 60,000 ?? ( from the current generous level of 6000. Actually- a ten fold increment we have actually seen between 2005-2015 ?? So... similar expectations, based on simple extrapolations.) is a simple question that might not need to elicit any sorts of answer.


EXPECTED -

Wish... the Bihar GSDP ( Gross State Domestic Product ) had grown similarily ! i.e. TEN folds. Or, is this really the case, under Mr Nitish Kumar ?

Are there any data in this regards as pertaining to Mr NK's "Nischay" ( = resolve ) on Bihar's purported GSDP ?


In which case- one must consider the GSDP metrics to be a measure of the true and real achievements of Mr Nitish Kumar over the period of his rule 2005-2015 . His "Nischay" ?

Otherwise -

Do we consider the ten/ twelve fold, overall, all-round increase in over a decade ( 2005 - 2015 ) to be symbolic of Mr Nitish Kumar's achievements ( = "Nischay" = resolve ) on all the fronts ? Achievements to boast of, in this regards, might include -

a) ALmost TEN to TWELVE fold increase in the number of liquor outlets across the state,

b) ALmost TEN to TWELVE fold increase in the NETT revenue accruals to the State Govt., from the diverse Excise collections across the state of Bihar,

c) ALmost TEN to TWELVE fold increase in the number of people accustomed to, or habituated to the consumption of liquor ( country or IMFL ) over this same period of time ? Is a question that comes naturally and logically... in light of a) and b) above ?

...

Is the above, the direct- product/ by-product/ middle-product/ end-product of "Su-Shaasan" ? I mean any/ all of -

a) Governance,
b) Better Governance ( compared to the last Govt. ),
c) Good Governance ( by any/ all standards ),
d) Best Governance ( top line, i.e. best in class Governance, pan India !! ); else
e) Worse / Worst Governance ( by any/ all standards ) ?


Gobarnance.

Is a question that everyone MUST... and ought to ask themselves ? As regards the JDU chief turned CM again ( his win in 2015 is... Hat trick of sorts ) brand of developmental agenda ??

Clearly he believes in walking 100 steps up the ladder ( 10 steps per year for 10 years )... and then demolishing the ladder altogether. And, leaving everyone accustomed and habituated to using the same ladder, in steps... to be in the lurch and in his vicious grips... in terms of the laws enacted by him ?

Seems like... he made some electoral 'promise' that he needed to fulfill. Else... perhaps 'true light' and 'wisdom' dawned on him after all these years of running the Govt. as also after remaining in politics for more than 30 to 40 years ??

One, but, cannot help asking this question.


One can easily comprehend the sort of leadership he is capable of providing. This Su-Shaasan thing. And... what might happen if he were to don the mantle at the centre i.e. he were to ever become the PM of the country. Seems like - by giving this livewire example to the nation... will he ever get to be even someplace near the chair of the PM's seat of this country... ? is a thought that repeats again and again to me.


My answer is a... plausible... NO !!


I think and suggest this to Mr NK - that his inherently worst political enemies posing as 'think-tank' friends have actually put him on the wrong track. By advising and goading him on this prohibition thing. Of which, he is making ALL hue and cry across ALL the other states he has been visiting. As far as blossoming of his political career at the national level goes, it might NOT help him at all. Rather, the contrary, I guess.

My bland observation, sans any and all prejudice. Just... watch out.


Now...
In case I were to achieve what he sets out to... i.e. in case I were in his chairs... I certainly might have done this in a rather trend-setting manner. Perhaps - ratcheting down the numbers of the habitual drinkers, gradually, over the years. Tightening screws on them. Increasing the revenues by raising the taxes, heavily. Rather than abruptly putting a full stop to the army of drunkards he has manifested out of thin air over the previous decade of his rule. And, now... making many of these habitual drunkards- criminals overnight; were their craving for some sneaky indulgences with liquor to be netted by any... even... small-time legal authorities.


REMEMBER -
He is comparing the crime stats ( reduction thereof ) and peacefulness in the villages/ and the overall society compared to the last two regimes.

Ironically... and funnily...
the last two regimes were Mr NK's only.
So... is he comparing his current rule with his past rule ?? Setting a standard !!

Or, shall we say this better ... his current rule with the past ( probably ) misrule and draconian policies of his predecessor ( = himself ), in office ? Wherein what he actually achieved was akin to... "Daaru ka nadi bahaya" i.e. rivers of liquor flowed freely. That might have implied... Nirvana... for many a 'bewdaa-s'.

Has anyone heard anything like this ? Ever before ?

Is that an indicator of - Mr NK's "Nischay" ( = resolve ) @ 2005 and onwards... till 2015 ?

Seems like... the tubelight of the think-tanks behind him and guiding and advicing him... is becoming ON, only after 10 years of his party's rule ?

Ever heard of this style of... "Nischay" = firm resolve ?

...
...
...

Now... after the Captain and his mates have set me up for 'watching' ( = overt surveillance ) and there is NO denying and doubt that the Central Govt. ( BJP + RSS ) are in cahoots... for very BASE political gain. Else... they DO NOT have to be be sitting idle for EIGHT/ NINE months ( till January 2015; after the Jharkhand elections are over and the Jharkhand state Govt. is formed by BJP ), without informing me, in any ways. I would NOT be surprised if... some of these of my kinsmen... who got BJP sops and swords... a few of them might still have some 'gun of sorts' = (c)over threats, directed at them.

Resultant reaction...

Last year... I had most aptly trashed PM Modi's pre-election Bihar special package. PM Modi announced this from Arrah, Bihar as if he were giving money out of his... own deep pockets. Like a MahaRaja... to... some FATICHAR beggars. The way he did this... insulted the Bihar people. And... actually really deeply offended me.

So... I compared the same 'special package' with the bullet train package for Gujarat.

Thereby... openly... trashing BJP's chances in the Bihar polls. This perhaps resulted in some ministerial berths parked with the Jharkhand CM to be passed over onto two 'surya-vanshi' fellows ( who were already heavy-weight minsiters )... at the behest of perhaps our home minister, GoI. So... one sees clearly that WHO ACTUALLY gained. And... who MIGHT BE pulling the strings. Effectively... the carrots of some ministerial berths shown to few of my kinsmen were actually... shoved aside and... passed on to few others. As...  some sort of punishment ? I guess... BJP central and state leadership might be mind-games-managing them even now, having actually thoroughly used them. This is my observation and perception of things as they are. Sounds... much like the Capt.'s and his mates's - games and... endless mind-games.

BJP will 100 % reap rich dividends for messing with mE. For... BJP's staying ALL quiet till Jan, 2015 means... 100 % complicity with Capt. and mates. Plain and simple.

Seeing that BJP is playing vile and foul...
had openly favored the then Bihar CM, Mr NK ( of JDU ) in his quest/ run-up for the 2015 state assembly polls. Intention/ Motive/ Motivation was ... an antidote to BJP claiming power... in the state of Bihar. There remains NO doubt that this might have eventually and definitely gone in to help Mr NK eventually win the Bihar polls. Importantly here... BJP's messing with me, went in his favour. This is... 100 % fact.

If Mr NK gets the idea that some PK guy helped him win Bihar, again. Whom he rewarded by making a cabinet minister.

Well... well... well... that could be  an erroneous line of thinking. Reformat that. Highly likely that whilst the likes of LPY and his clan will survive and flourish, I doubt, that Mr NK's own political future might be that secure, down the road. Forget... all about any central role... and becoming PM.

This is a thought that keeps on repeating, again and again,
after watching the 'flop-flop' this year.

Seems like... Bihar people got what they actually deserved. King is a mirror of his subjects. And, vice versa.

Bole to...
"Jungle mein Mangal"  or... "Mangal mein Jungle" ?
are words that confront me.
...
...
...

Now... a few of the metrics for real governance could be broadly categorized as -

GOOD GOVERNANCE encompasses the best of JUSTICE and FAIR PLAY. Having the best elements that guarantees LAW and ORDER. And, overall DEVELOPMENTAL well-being, for each and every subject of the state. As also, all non-state people who are an 'ATITHI' to the state.

Now... not being very gifted with words and in the art of playing around with words and their fair play...

The moot question is... has the JDU leadership of Bihar ( this includes the current Bihar CM as well ) been able to deliver... on all the fronts ? Will it ever deliver ? Is a question they MUST ask themselves.

I am least bothered... for I am NO social or any... political animal.

In this context let me put forth a few salient points that merits some keenness of observation -

AAA) JUSTICE and FAIR PLAY. LAW and ORDER.

Since, past 1st of April, 2016... Bihar has become a dry state. Owing to imposition of prohibition. The scale and actual scope of which is aptly measured by the SC Justice Sri Markandeya Katju Saheb in one of his articles on 14th August 2016.

NOW...
Total prohibition is NO guarantee that people will NOT get the desired 'stuff' in the black or under-ground market. One villager from Bihar, I chanced across in May/ June this year was telling me -

Whilst... it is true that the drinking has come down drastically almost everywhere in Bihar. And almost a great percentage of the bottom of the barrel populace have stopped drinking. But, at the same time - if anyone has money to spend then one may get everything... and... anything... delivered at their house.

Everything and anything means precisely that. Have the right connections and MONEY. Then rest assured... of the services. Perhaps - 24 hours covert, underground services network.

Those who have the right connections with the police are making a huge amount of money. This guy further elaborated that... the country made liquor ( of... 200 ml pouch ) that costs perhaps INR 15 or INR 20 is easily available ( to those in the know ) for INR 70 or INR 80 !!

And, the 400 ml pouch of country liquor worth around INR 35 or 40 is selling for... around INR 120 !!

Further...
the Indian Made Foreign Liquor ( IMFL ) that should cost almost like INR 400 or 500 is readily available in the under-ground market for INR 1500 - INR 2000.

So... some political parties and people affiliated to these parties may be making a killing... (in)directly...  by the imposition of prohibition in the state, was something he could NOT outrightly establish or claim. But, his divulgances seemed to state 100 % less-or-so, in that direction.

By... the process of... logical deductions.

Clearly... few set of people could certainly be... "making hay while the sun shines". Now, what might be the extent of this "hay"... is something to actually... statistically figure out.

So... let's quantify... aggregate... based on the raw data supplied.

The Bihar Govt. is losing out at an yearly assured revenue of AT LEAST INR 6000 crores for 5 years. This = 6000 crores X  5 = INR 30,000 crores during the term of Mr NK as CM of Bihar !! Actually, perhaps INR 37,000 to INR 40,000 crores, in fact, over the period 2015-2020 .

AN OFF THE CUFF IDEA -
With this amount he could have built and adeqautely staffed at LEAST SIX/ EIGHT mega universities like the... Nalanda University... out of this money. During his third... and perhaps the final term as Bihar CM.

Leaving behind a REAL proud legacy behind him. That stays behind, even after 200/ 300 years !!

Do I suggest that -
He has NOT bothered to think out of the box.

But... who am I to tell ? This post is toproide a cue to him, rather than pullhis leg in any manner. After all, I have supported him.

Now... Some STATS...

Now, let us presume that post the prohibition in Bihar... almost 85 % of the habitually drinking people ( consuming especially the country liquor ) and who might majorly consitute the lower economic rungs of the society ( Esp. in the villages and towns; as also in parts of the cities ) might have at least... 85 % curtailed or almost stopped their regular drinking binge. And, the resulting money outflow from their personal coffers. But then, even this 85 % of people now drinking at best 15 % of their previous levels is tantamount to... the nett outflow from their pockets might still be 40 % to 80 % of their previous regular, legal, drinking binges !! Is something... that one may NOT actually rule out !!

Now... does this rough approximation ring a bell ?? !!

...

Now, 85 % of the confirmed drunkards and occasional people drinking... 15 % of the time and that too covertly... means that for the upto 99.9 % of the habitual drinkers NOT in actual public glare... there might NEVER be any visible signs of the usual drunkenness, and... the drunken brawls.... and, drunkards committing petty or serious crimes, etc. to be seen anywhere in the public domain. Good actually, this way.

NOW...
Importantly... the 12 % ( say ) of the moderately moneyed people who have a penchant for drinking either the country-made or the IMFL ( foreign liquor )... may curtail their drinking bouts by 70 % to 80 %. Yet... guesstimating that their overall expenses in this regards might be ( for the much tapered... 20 % or 30 % of the previous drinking binges ) perhaps... 150 % to 300 % of their previous monthly drinking expenses.

Finally...
The 3 % ( say ) of the remnants... those rich, uber rich and some powerful people habituated to drinking liquor. These guys get the things at their place... at the drop of the hat. For... there certainly has to be clandestine networks to effect the same. Now... those for whom money is NOT a problem... their drinking may be curtailed 50 % to 60 %, at best, or NOT at all.
These guys can easily spend almost 250 % to 500 % ( on case basis ) of what they were previously spending on the head of liquor. Understanding that getting their favourite brand requires paying up... and paying up good. These guys may NOT mind paying up perhaps - 2.5 to 4 times the MRP of the brand.


Quantifying on these lines...

Can one draw that the highly covert, underground boot-legging network throughout the state might rake in something like INR 10,000 to 15,000 to 20,000 crore per annum ?

It is likely that this estimate goes down... over the next few years; alternately... do we say that...
Does this translates to almost INR 50,000 / 75,000 / 100,000 crores to be potentially made... (  over a five year term of the incumbent Government ) by the covert networks/ groups !! Is a question that confronts ?

Does this ring a bell ?? Of the quantum of 'maal' to be possibly made...
in case the law enforcing authorities were to look the other side ? ( Say ) Play... deaf, dumb/ mute and blind ... on case-by-case basis ? After all - we are dealing with human beings ?

This, perhaps, or a good part thereof passes down to those who are part of the the "underground", "covert" network that might have spawned all across the state. And... party to this is certainly... quite some political and criminal elements who have the 'right connections'.

And, this cannot easily and really transpire without the covert blessings of a certain part of the law and order machinery of the state.

And... knowing that... HOW almost all the police postings are done in the states like Bihar. HOW... the LOCAL political bosses, over-lords and under-lings decide and determine the officers that are generally posted in their locality. And... most of these guys are not "doodh ka dhula" types ( i.e. sparkling clean and dead honest types ).

Is this prohibition thingy.... tantamount to... the case of ... "Jungle mein Mangal" ?? for quite a few guys ? is a question that confronts any pragmatic person.

BTW - be your own judge.




BBB) In fact this same person was alluding that, how, there have been certain instances of a set of habitual drinkers who organise a rave party in the forest ( = junglee ) areas. i.e. - out of the village/ town... desolate areas. Perhaps... in the dead of the night.

Let there be no misconception - even the most fearless police personnel might NOT venture into such areas... even in day time. In the diverse badlands throughout the state of Bihar. Where endless feud runs high and dry. And... the life of a police-man and any other man... the common factor is... bullet.

And... funnily... this guy was telling that... one of the habitual drinkers, after attending one such party, was singing -

"Jungle mein more nacha kisi ne nahin dekha."

( Peacocks dances in forest; yet no one is there to watch/ notice. )

This was... way too amusing to learn.


CCC) Overall DEVELOPMENTAL well-being

I wish the present Bihar CM had focused on industrializing the state and tried to get a few IT companies to set up shop, with adequate tax concessions. Lot of Biharis might come back and settle back in the state. Helping in growth of the state of Bihar.

Further, I see no initiative by this Got to open national level ( that goes on to become world class ) educational ( esp. technical and high-tech ) MEGA institutions. That might entail massive investments.

This ways... lots of Bihar guys DO NOT have to go to places like Delhi, Bangalore, Pune, etc. for studies and employemnt.

It is high time that the Bihar Govt. creates a suitable environment in some pockets of the state.


DDD) LEGALITY.

Can the CM ask himself and adequately answer... under his previous TWO regimes... how... lots of people have actually taken to drinking. And, that too when it was legit. How is it that overnight they get to come on the other side of the laws, rules and regulations of the state.

Now, in this context that the offenses in these regards are non-bailable... he and his coterie MUST ask himself...

If, 1,000 - 2,500 ( a rough guesstimate ) are booked under the several provisions of the Bihar Excise (Amendment) Act 2016... then we are looking at a number ( of actually innocent people, who are but, habituated to drinking ), something like -

In a year's time : 1000-2500 X 12 = 12,000 to 30,000 people booked and perhaps sent to custody.

This is equivalent to -

In FIVE year's time frame : ( 12,000 to 30,000 ) X 5 = 60,000 to 300,000 people booked and perhaps sent to custody.

Perhaps, many thousands of these guys might become criminals themselves... once they get into contacts and influence with the regular jail birds.

Does this sound a reasonable bell ? Be your own judge... for... everyone needs to answer once in a while.

And... it is better to be prepared for the 'days "after"' rather than be power drunk.

Make no mistakes... I might have helped out this time, owing to BJP's skulldudgery... but going forward... I think LPY will survive whilst it might NOT be easy sail for you. My gut feeling.


EEE) Does this NOT make sense that those from the armed forces who get the liquor as rations from ( say ) Danapur military cantonment... be stopped from the drinking bouts.

Why spare them. In fact Mr NK should have started his campaign for prohibition from the Danapur military cantonment.

That might have actually made the best sense. Can he still do that ? Is he up to it ?


ADDENDA -
I might have never written this post. But for the simple reason that I chose to be on Mr NK's side so that he gets over and even with BJP. I DO NOT gain anything. And, I had NO reasons to make any enemies, unnecessarily. But, is this NOT true that BJP has shown that it is in playing mode ( and, real playing dirty ) by keeping silent till Jan, 2015 ( till... past the Jharkhand state assembly elections ) ??

Is the question everyone MUST seek an answer to. Exposes the real character of those at the helm of BJP ? And, RSS ? And, Capt's mate, as well ? And... no matter what the Capt and his mates might say... seems like he is in close association with BJP/ RSS.


NOTABLY -
If I were any remotest social, political activist or wannabe leader-types I might have entered the fray long back and utilised any and all opportunties to create new paths and break into new grounds and create ( future ) playing fields for myself. In case I desired - I might be good enough for that ? I am not sure. For... having... never done that. Never intended to ?

Understood !


Reference URLs  : -

1) A real eye opener -

Bihar’s Draconian Prohibition Law Will Only Drive the Liquor Trade Underground


 - By Markandey Katju on 14/08/2016 ( 14th August <- NOTE )

http://thewire.in/59093/bihars-draconian-prohibition-law-will-drive-trade-underground/

- The US National Prohibition Act of 1920 – more commonly known as the Volstead Act

Read this -
" To my mind such tough prohibition laws will... "

...

The new prohibition law in Bihar, a prohibition measure had already been enacted in Bihar in March 2016 – the Bihar Excise ( Amendment ) Act, 2016.

2) A Dry Run in Bihar
Policemen recover illicit liquor from a field near Gopalganj

http://www.openthemagazine.com/article/dispatch/a-dry-run-in-bihar

... ( 15th August <- NOTE AGAIN !! What a prescience ?? And, rightfully so !! )

On the night of 15 August, illicit liquor took at least 16 lives across the border in his own state of Bihar, leaving the Chief Minister more than just a little red-faced.


3) Prohibition Politics
http://www.openthemagazine.com/article/india/prohibition-politics



4) Prohibition Law: Drunk When
http://www.openthemagazine.com/article/politics/prohibition-law-drunk-when-drafted



5) Bihar: Going too far
Bihar Excise (Amendment) Act 2016 and the revised Bihar Special Courts Act

http://120.138.9.146/columnists/bihar-going-too-far-588


6) http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/editorial/nitish-kumar-imposes-prohibition-in-bihar-bihars-draconian-prohibition-law/article8943792.ece


7) http://www.thehindu.com/sunday-anchor/liquor-ban-liquor-on-tap-in-dry-gujarat/article6365413.ece


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