..1816..1916..2016..2106
An Indian's... pondering over certain timelines... spanning centuries... apart...
Circa 1816 :
...
After the battle of Plassesy, 1757... the Britishers have consolidated positions across the Indian sub-continent. Much before and around the same time the other marauding Europeans - this includes the French, Portugese, Dutch have also consolidated their position = strangle-hold in India. Whereby all these marauding forces make use of all the rules of their book ( unseen and unknown to the Indian state-craft, diplomacy and any/ all military strategy/ stratagem ) - using the DOCTRINES, TREATIES and the AGREEMENTS as the "noose" to ensnare, entrap, round up thereby compartmentalizing the fragmented and largely fragile Indian princely states. One by one. Who all are clueless on the future implications of such treaties, doctrines and the agreements. ( NOTE - typical resonance &/ or congruence to the current times ? )
IMPORTANT -
If any treaty, doctrine, agreement or pact is/ was made. Some bare basics framework is/ was initially provided for/ added. Later on some ( yet another/ another set of ) late entrant ( say ) guys add some more clauses/ digressions... and profusely so. Rather... a sea/ plethora of super fine clauses/ digressions.
And, depending on the 'situational awareness' ( in a rather global, regional and localized sense ) these guys pull off the fruits of the so-called "alliance" or partnership. All this might ( anytime ) happen 1-5-10-15-20-30-40-60-100-120-150 years down the line... from the moment of penning down of mutual acts/ pacts/ treaties/ agreements. !!
...
...
Meanwhile there are instances of the majorly mighty kingdoms ( the Sikhs, Marathas, weakened Mughals, etc. ) ever slowly losing their inherent strength, influence, hold and traction over their fiefdom; under the gradual onslaught of Europeans ( majorly - the East India Company ).
The process of gradual decimation by "thousand cuts" on the Indian sub-continent is fully unleashed by the western Europeans. Primarily... the wily/ vile Britishers. Slowly... the Indians are gradually losing their culture, values and the educational system. The Indian educational system has been undergoing massive changes, in the process, been devastated and totally westernized.
The reader of this piece is asked to use his knowledge, thoughts and imaginations to perceive and conceptualize the Indian sub-continent at that ( around the Circa 1816 ) instance of time.
...
...
...
Very few Indians would realize the fact that -
Owing to the fault of one sepoy - Mangal Pandey the entire 1857 "planned uprising" went phut. The planned 1857 uprising was to be "death by thousand cuts" blow to the Britishers. That would have plucked off the Brits off the land. And, we might have been a free nation by 1857 ( ninety years prior to 1947 ).
Frankly... Sepoy Mangal Pandey jumped the gun. What had to transpire at thousand places at one specific instance of date and time. Would have certainly paralyzed the Brits and decimated their raw attacking power.
Sepoy Mangal Pandey destroyed the work of many many months and years ( by the master strategists ) by his wanton act. We Indians lost almost a century of being an independent nation owing to the fallacies of one single man, is a thought that recurs and confronts.
Why I think so - is plain simple if anyone can see. Yet I might explain this at some future instance of time.
Practically ( a cue ) -
To take on a 100,000 strong British presence across the India sub-continent required simultaneous massive losses to them; that might have destroyed any chances of rethink, recoup and reassemble. Where total surrender would have been the ONLY option remaining.
Is it that Sepoys' premature outburst turned the spoil sport for the entire Indian civilization ? By localizing the effort ? Whilst - one massive incision ( to spread the British losses ) at all the locales might have sufficed to decimate them.
Such things are not the ball-game of a mere sepoys and their mercurial acts of randomly spread, managed and directed bravadicio.
Requires master strategists of the highest order. Some military geniuses.
And... who says that the modern armed forces and intel agencies have their history dating back to 1857 ? In which case, that they did not earn their stripes since then ( 1857 ) till 1947 - is a thought that recurs.
Circa 1916 :
In Europe... there is a protracted World War - I ( WW-I : 1914-1918 ).
And...
There have been Indian leaders and ( the covertly partnered ) princely states/ kings ( mainly the 11, 18, 21 gun/ canon-ball salute variety ) who have recruited and sent massive number of Indian soldiers to Europe to fight in WW-I on behalf of the mangy Britishers.
In hind sight... one can easily perceive that... if were it not for the exorbitant "Black Gold" stock in the middle east... WW-I and WW-II might have never ever been conceived, designed, planned, actioned out, orchestrated and taken place.
The end result of WW-I and WW-II had been the creation of the state of Israel, which remains ever covertly backed by the NATO. The strategic Israeli location gives Israel/ NATO a sure-foot leverage, hold and sway over and around the entire middle eastern region ( i.e. on the OPEC cartel actually ) and the entire stretch of the region is (c)overtly militarized.
...
...
Around the same time... after the failed Sepoy Mutiny of 1857, the East India company has passed on the rule of the entirety of the Indian sub-continent to the British Crown.
DEDUCTION -
Thereby... this establishes without fail that the East India Company ( EIC ) was factually a (c)overt front of the British Crown... actually the Anglo-Saxon ( predominantly Judaic ) "deep state" - "THE" think-tank and their might.
And... these guys ( EIC ) chose the best time to re- consolidate power and transfer the power to the British Crown.
...
...
In the Indian scenario - the nationalistic sentiments have touched newer heights. There is demand and struggle made by Indians to free the land off the Britishers. Patriotic Indians are polarizing to pluck off the Britishers off the face of the entire Indian nation.
The then undivided India, majorily occupied and controlled by the Brishers (in)directly, covered present day - Burma ( Myanmar ), BanglaDesh, Afghanistan, Pakistan, etc.
Almost the entirety of the Indian population have almost foregone their differences and the Hindus + Muslims + Sikhs, etc. and all the diverse groupings are fully aligned to fully/ thoroughly and conclusively rout and expel the Britishers from the entirety of the Indian landscape. There is NIL inter-religious and inter-caste rivalries, as far as the Britishers go.
There have been popular risings.
...
The reader of this piece is asked to use his knowledge, thoughts and imaginations to perceive and conceptualize the Indian sub-continent at that instance of time, viz. 1916 AD.
Circa 2016 :
In August,1947 we Indians gain independence. Gain or given ? Or, are we still a dominion of the empire - the common wealth ?
Before that... the slimy Britishers have ensured that the Indian civilization... the sub-continent is divided on religious fault-lines into a few separate countries...
East Pakistan and West Pakistan, Burma and Afghanistan are gone from the mainland Bharat... carved off as separate countries.
Does this surprise that Mountbatten is called - "the Earl of Burma" ?
...
India and Pakistan have had 3-4 wars over the past 70 years, since we gained independence. We are part of the same Indian civilization that constituted of... the same set of brown people... but... "some set of ultra-smart" people have divided regions in collusion with the Britishers ( and/ or is it actually vice versa ? ) on the basis of religion. Just to hog onto power.
...
Here... below... lies the CRUX of this entire blog piece -
Meanwhile...
Between the period of 1916 to 2016 ...
The Han Chinese people got together and formed the Communist Party in 1949. After seeing that the Britishers are gone from South Asia. And- India and the Indian civilization is now split into almost half a dozen countries.
With India and Pakistan warring over the valley of Kashmir during 1947-1948. Essentially the Britishers had done their work. And ... well... for the Chinese nation.
And so... in 1950 the Chinese overran Tibet and occupied the entire stretch of the vast Tibetan country.
And...
Tibet existed as an independent country since millenniums.
Meanwhile... the Chinese Red Army ad the Communist Party take 10-12 years to deeply entrench themselves in Tibet ( 1950-1962 ). Meanwhile they chanted "Hindi-Chini bhai bhai" and some "panchsheel" principles. Our Indian PM and the entire Indian leadership was rendered happy and complacent.
In 1962 - for the first time in the annals of history ( per my limited knowledge ) the Indian and the Chinese civilization are facing each other off in a war. Sort of... a great... "Himalayan Blunder".
Clearly ... the Indian leadership failed to anticipate the entire situation. With the then PM clearly under-estimating the real force and the nature of the Chinese intentions/ motive/ motivations. And... their might.
That cost us real dear.
IMPORTANT NOTE -
1) The insurgency in the North East and in the Kashmir valley might have been way long back settled if we had a friendly Buddhist country Tibet to our North, rather than Tibet being forcibly occupied by the PRC is a question that confronts ?
2) Is it possible that if India were not fragmented in different countries on the grounds of religion ( by the vile Britishers )... our response to the Chinese occupation of Tibet and their show of force... might / would certainly have been different ?
Quite possibly... Tibet would have still existed as a separate nation. And... completely out of PRC's circle of influence. Similar to Vietnam.
A civilizational failure here ?? !!
Seems like our mutual loss is... the PRC's gain !!
And... PRC is reaping the fruits off our ( Indo-Pak ) fault-lines. To the extent that PRC has decided to run riot thru' the Ghulam Kashmir territory ( illegally occupied regions of North-West Kashmir by Pakistan; and controlled and administered by Pakistan ) the CPEC corridor that links the Baloch port of Gwadar to the Singiang province.
Thereby PRC apparently seeks to mutually - appease and strengthen the Punjabi Sunni Muslim rule over Pakistan... meanwhile, removing the entire world's focus from the Tibetan Buddhist insurgency and their 60-70 years old constant efforts for seeking to effect Tibetan independence from the Han Chinese. And covertly thereby ensuring a more vicious grip over Tibet ( the TAS ) region.
And we Indians are faced with a new sort of mega headache.
What about - some 30-40-50 years down the line the PRC forcibly occupies Mongolia. For... few weeks back PRC blockaded Mongolia over Dalai Lama's visit.
IMPORTANTLY -
Seems like... is it that the CPEC freight corridor seeks to undeniably block any plausible Indian gateway to the energy rich Central Asian regions around the Caspians ( via Ghulam Kashmir and Afghanistan ) ?
Quite evidently... YES !!
And... it is time the GoI must try mitigate the inherent risk element.
...
The Chinese seem to be rejuvenating the almost bankrupt Pakistan economy by investing some USD 46 billions in this CPEC freight corridor over a period of time. This is expected to inject some life in the Punjabi Sunni control over their fiefdom called Pakistan.
Again...
Why the PRC leadership chose to play spoil-sport to the Indian bid to enter the NSG group beats the understanding ? Meanwhile - the Chinese leadership are supplying Bangladesh with 2 submarines and FDI worth USD 26 billions.
This sounds like way... too much.
I suggest that the PRC is splurging the largesse over these east/ west flanking lands because we Indians are allowing them to. Actually funding them ( the PRC ) to fund Pakistan and Bangladesh. That is... frankly speaking !!
With our ... negative balance of trade in the favor of PRC... to the tune of USD 60-70 billions. Actually... we are financing the Chinese economy. Aside and apart from the Western nations ( with lots of Indian wealth squandered all over ) muscling the China nation.
And... indirectly... the CPEC and the Bangladesh FDI... is an evident truth ? Progeny of the Indian indirect investment in PRC ?
Seems like true.
...
SOLUTION to the above-mentioned PROBLEM -
In case there is reduction in Indo-China balance of trade numbers/ stats by USD 20-30-40 billion per year, in our favor. Then... this amounts to ( over a decade's time ) USD 200-300-400 billion !!
This is NO mean figure !! And... if the people of India and/ or the GoI is determined... this reduction can be safely achieved. Then... all the investments in our neighborhood might go dry... in no time. Because, the PRC might be compelled to need to invest or manage more in the affairs of their country first.
And... this is 100 % possible.
Again... if we choose to squeeze the Indo-Pak trade then Pakistan economy and establishment will see "the light of the day". But does that help in the long run ?
We are clearly not doing so ? This implies that are we (c)overtly allowing the problem to magnify ?
We need not bank on the West to solve issues like such. Which all... they might further complicate... to their advantage.
And... all this ends to any/ all of the Asian country's disadvantage.
PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION / LINE OF ACTION -
So... let us consider a small example ( how to deal with the hugely negative Indo-Chinese trade ) -
Recently - I came to know that all the 7 Volt batteries ( whether automotive or industrial; used in motor bikes or UPS, etc. ) sold in India are ALL sourced = imported from China !!
No Indian manufacturer produces them any more. The existing producers stopped producing them.
And... how's that ?
As someone was telling...
Actually - in the year 2010 there was a huge country-wide power crisis during summer months. And... so people faced frequent power cuts. This necessitated that people buy and install - inverters + batteries.
During that time phase the Indian manufacturers ( owing to demand glut ) sourced quite some of their stock from China. Later these same manufacturers sensed that it is economical, profitable and less cumbersome to import the same batteries from PRC and then re-label the produce and sell the same in the Indian market to earn the same / similar kind of profits. With NIL headache of manufacturing, labour, supply-chain-management, etc.
So... these guys disbanded their old time manufacturing units ( thereby rendering thousands of their workers jobless ) and thereon started importing the lead-acid, Ni chlriode based, etc. and similar such batteries from PRC. On ensured - economies of scale and some peace of mind.
I guesstimate that the quantum of these battery imports alone might be to the tune of USD 2-3 billions / annum ( if the person who told of 100 % imports from PRC, is to be believed ).
In that case this is akin to INR 10,000 - 20,000 crores alone of FOREX going out of our hand to PRC !!
This is akin to INR 100,000 - 200,000 crores over a DECADE's time frame. In the case of small sized automotive or industrial batteries, alone !!
If the GoI is seriously determined... then the trade deficit with PRC can be easily halved !!
This potentially / assuredly gives us a lot of leverage in our dealings with PRC... and in our surroundings/ neighborhood.
Apparently... the GoI think-tank does not see any wisdom in effecting this, shall we assume ??
TO PONDER -
A lot of security experts believe that "China's rise won't be peaceful".
Ask our NSA- Ajit Doval ad he'll agree 100 %.
Our NSA must advice the GoI to drastically reduce the balance of trade with China. This might have greater impact and implications for PRC and therefore on PRC's aid to Pakistan.
In my limited understanding - it is advisable that the Chinese shelve CPEC or go way too slow on the CPEC. Rather than making it any sort of ego issue.
This CPEC thing does not sound anyway good for all the three of us ( either China, Pakistan or us Indians ) in the long run.
...
Btw...
if the Western countries really ever want to squeeze PRC then they'll start pulling off their manufacturing bases off from PRC and relocating these to other Asian or African countries.
Apparently, no matter whatever they say, PRC seems like their BEST STRATEGIC partner. The bottom-line truth. Again... the PRC laps up all the US Govt. Dollar denominated bonds, CDOs, etc. thereby ever increasing the US Dollar currency demand and therefore the US Govt. overall debt ( denominated in the US Dollar ).
Any arms race in the Asian sphere might eventually destroy the Asian countries. As... most of the countries have to choose to either source their arms from the Western Block ( = NATO ) or Russia.
This must not be forgotten.
PONDERABLE, AGAIN -
Over the century - 1916..2016 ...
1)
The extended Indian civilization has fragmented into a set of countries in the Indian sub-continent. Some of these are fully volatile and under foreign occupation ( Afghanistan ). Whilst others have been recurrently warring - India and Pakistan.
Meanwhile -
the Chinese have swiftly moved over to occupy the entirety of Tibet. And, have one foot in the Arabian sea @ Gwadar port, Balochistan, Pakistan. Another port and SEZ in Sri Lanka. And, the way the PRC has decided to invest USD 26 billions in Bangladesh... there are chances that PRC may be toying up with similar idea in the Bay of Bengal region.
And... this does NOT sound too good. We are rendered uncomfortable. Indirectly... the PRC is expanding on the back of Western market of Chinese finished products. Thereby this has continually strengthened the Chinese economy.
Actually ... most of the wealth in the western economies is of Indian origin. ( Recall "the INR 15 lakh in the account" extrapolation I had made previously ).
Indirectly - covertly Indian-origin money/ wealth ( routed via the western tax havens ) as FDI in the PRC economy has muscled up China. And, now we have the Western guys saying that "PRC rise may not be peaceful". Btw - these guys themselves allowed the PRC to rise. Now they want to solve the PRC problem !! By... cobbling up a coalition of Asian countries that might be impacted by PRC's rise.
Thereby starting, abetting and fueling an arms race in the Asian sphere !!
Some real contrarian thoughts...
2) What about - if we Indians had gained independence in 1857 AD ( in case the Sepoy Mutiny had somehow remotely succeeded or had NEVER ever taken place !! ) ? And - there was NO Hindu - Muslim engineered rioting. And, the SAARC nations were one big unified nation.
Quite possibly Tibet might NOT have been EVER overrun by China. And, sensing trouble from the Chinese side - it might have been likely that Tibetans might have joined the Indian union, in all their wisdom.
Tibet might have been - a couple of more states added to a country known as Bharat.
In which case Indian troops might have been co-stationed in Tibet's border with mainland China, even in the 19th century ( post 1857 ).
...
Further - if the muslims in the sub-continent were able to divide the mainland China in two or three warring countries. Befriending one of these nations ( say - a Buddhist ) ... we brown Indians might have had, by now, established road /corridor to the South China Sea ( through the mainland China ) that started off from the Indian territory of Tibet.
And - what about a fully functional Indian port at Taiwan ( compare this to the Chinese port at Sri Lanka ).
Whilst the two or three warring Chinese ( fragmented ) countries tried managing each other with endless muck raking and war.
Clearly that has NOT really happened !! Whilst the reverse is happening.
We need to wake up. And good.
Clearly... the 19th century was not ours. And... provenly the 20th century was certainly China's. In the sense that PRC has still managed to gobble up Tibet. In the start of the 21st century PRC has set one foot in the Arabian Sea @ Gwadar port, Balochistan, Pakistan.
This has set the stage for PRC... for what all may roll further on, in the oncoming future.
Yet... PRC seems to be in a hurry... yet slowly and steadily they are expanding their reaches...
Seems like that the Han Chinese civilization = "race of people" have shown themselves to be aptly wiser and more unified ( sans the scar of the Islamic conquest and conquistadors in the Indian sub-continent / civilization that divided the people on religious / communal lines ) than all of us - Indians/ Pakistanis/ Bangladeshis/ Afghans/ Iranians/ Bhutanese/ Burmese/, etc. ( essentially brown people ) all rolled into one single entity = Indian civilization.
So... shall we expect that the 21st century belongs to India ? Rather... the Indian civilizational space ? To the Indian sub-continent at large ?
How to actually effect that ? I suggest that the solution might lie in a "Currency Union".
IMPORTANT NOTE -
If any person from the sub-continent meets a Han Chinese ( yellow race ) or Western people ( white race )... the yellow and the white guy cannot ( usually ) make out that the person from the Indian civilization ( brown raced guy ) is actually from which country - India or Pakistan or Sri Lanka or Bangladesh or Afghanistan or... ?
This is the REAL fact !!
3)
Seems like eventually Pakistan's Punjabi Sunni leadership is going to be used up and left aside by the PRC leadership is a thought that repeats again and again.
The Sunni Punjabi Pakistanis have failed to do adequate soul-searching whilst allowing the CPEC project. Their only motivation might be to maintain their hold and sway over the rest of the three provinces and people ( whether they be in - Sind, Balochistan or NWFP ) This may be fallacy of the greatest order in the annals of history ( on their part ).
By that time - we Indians might have moved on way too ahead. There might not be NIL catching up or any bon-homie remaining.
BOTTOM-LINE -
PRC must go slow on the CPEC. And, the Russians must stay out of the CPEC. And any/ all related India-specific concerns must be taken care of by the Russians.
A thought -
If we tighten the screws on the already floundering Pakistan economy and at the same time massively cut back on the trade deficit that we have with China - then we DO NOT necessarily need to get into an arms race with any neighboring country ?
Any arms race leads to rejuvenating and adding fuel/ fire to the Western and the Russian economies.
While minimizing any/ all risk - we must be focused on development.
And... in house technology development and production.
Circa 2116 :
Pakistan as a country has long ceased to exist... is a thought that recurs.
Owing to the fallacies of the Sunni Punjabi muslims during 2000-2010-2020 the region is now under complete Chinese sovereignty = indirect or direct rule - is a resounding thought that confronts.
There are Chinese folks ( much like the Britishers in the colonial India ) running the show from the erstwhile Pakistan's territory which has transformed into an adjunct part of the extended PRC.
A vassal statehood might have been a better option.
Frankly, as of todays -
It is for the Pakistani Punjabi Sunni leaders to "make a call with destiny". They won't get another chance. They might have a very small window of opportunity.
The ball is in their court. They must realize this. In the... Punjabi Sunni leadership court. They need to make a call.
They need to get out of this CPEC thing. If they have any vision - they should see what might transpire on account of this, going forwards.
After all we are brown men. Not white or yellow.
Even our Captain is certainly not black. Though he rants against the "white invader". In case the Captain thinks that he is black man then there are chances that someone might call him a ni... an Indian ne..
But then, Thiyyas ( as opposed to the Ezhavas ) claim to have come from Central Asia ( See the Thiyya Mahasabha website from the Malabar region ) and are moderately fair i.e. brown rather than jet black.
< EndOfPost >
An Indian's... pondering over certain timelines... spanning centuries... apart...
Circa 1816 :
...
After the battle of Plassesy, 1757... the Britishers have consolidated positions across the Indian sub-continent. Much before and around the same time the other marauding Europeans - this includes the French, Portugese, Dutch have also consolidated their position = strangle-hold in India. Whereby all these marauding forces make use of all the rules of their book ( unseen and unknown to the Indian state-craft, diplomacy and any/ all military strategy/ stratagem ) - using the DOCTRINES, TREATIES and the AGREEMENTS as the "noose" to ensnare, entrap, round up thereby compartmentalizing the fragmented and largely fragile Indian princely states. One by one. Who all are clueless on the future implications of such treaties, doctrines and the agreements. ( NOTE - typical resonance &/ or congruence to the current times ? )
IMPORTANT -
If any treaty, doctrine, agreement or pact is/ was made. Some bare basics framework is/ was initially provided for/ added. Later on some ( yet another/ another set of ) late entrant ( say ) guys add some more clauses/ digressions... and profusely so. Rather... a sea/ plethora of super fine clauses/ digressions.
And, depending on the 'situational awareness' ( in a rather global, regional and localized sense ) these guys pull off the fruits of the so-called "alliance" or partnership. All this might ( anytime ) happen 1-5-10-15-20-30-40-60-100-120-150 years down the line... from the moment of penning down of mutual acts/ pacts/ treaties/ agreements. !!
...
...
Meanwhile there are instances of the majorly mighty kingdoms ( the Sikhs, Marathas, weakened Mughals, etc. ) ever slowly losing their inherent strength, influence, hold and traction over their fiefdom; under the gradual onslaught of Europeans ( majorly - the East India Company ).
The process of gradual decimation by "thousand cuts" on the Indian sub-continent is fully unleashed by the western Europeans. Primarily... the wily/ vile Britishers. Slowly... the Indians are gradually losing their culture, values and the educational system. The Indian educational system has been undergoing massive changes, in the process, been devastated and totally westernized.
The reader of this piece is asked to use his knowledge, thoughts and imaginations to perceive and conceptualize the Indian sub-continent at that ( around the Circa 1816 ) instance of time.
...
...
...
Very few Indians would realize the fact that -
Owing to the fault of one sepoy - Mangal Pandey the entire 1857 "planned uprising" went phut. The planned 1857 uprising was to be "death by thousand cuts" blow to the Britishers. That would have plucked off the Brits off the land. And, we might have been a free nation by 1857 ( ninety years prior to 1947 ).
Frankly... Sepoy Mangal Pandey jumped the gun. What had to transpire at thousand places at one specific instance of date and time. Would have certainly paralyzed the Brits and decimated their raw attacking power.
Sepoy Mangal Pandey destroyed the work of many many months and years ( by the master strategists ) by his wanton act. We Indians lost almost a century of being an independent nation owing to the fallacies of one single man, is a thought that recurs and confronts.
Why I think so - is plain simple if anyone can see. Yet I might explain this at some future instance of time.
Practically ( a cue ) -
To take on a 100,000 strong British presence across the India sub-continent required simultaneous massive losses to them; that might have destroyed any chances of rethink, recoup and reassemble. Where total surrender would have been the ONLY option remaining.
Is it that Sepoys' premature outburst turned the spoil sport for the entire Indian civilization ? By localizing the effort ? Whilst - one massive incision ( to spread the British losses ) at all the locales might have sufficed to decimate them.
Such things are not the ball-game of a mere sepoys and their mercurial acts of randomly spread, managed and directed bravadicio.
Requires master strategists of the highest order. Some military geniuses.
And... who says that the modern armed forces and intel agencies have their history dating back to 1857 ? In which case, that they did not earn their stripes since then ( 1857 ) till 1947 - is a thought that recurs.
Circa 1916 :
In Europe... there is a protracted World War - I ( WW-I : 1914-1918 ).
And...
There have been Indian leaders and ( the covertly partnered ) princely states/ kings ( mainly the 11, 18, 21 gun/ canon-ball salute variety ) who have recruited and sent massive number of Indian soldiers to Europe to fight in WW-I on behalf of the mangy Britishers.
In hind sight... one can easily perceive that... if were it not for the exorbitant "Black Gold" stock in the middle east... WW-I and WW-II might have never ever been conceived, designed, planned, actioned out, orchestrated and taken place.
The end result of WW-I and WW-II had been the creation of the state of Israel, which remains ever covertly backed by the NATO. The strategic Israeli location gives Israel/ NATO a sure-foot leverage, hold and sway over and around the entire middle eastern region ( i.e. on the OPEC cartel actually ) and the entire stretch of the region is (c)overtly militarized.
...
...
Around the same time... after the failed Sepoy Mutiny of 1857, the East India company has passed on the rule of the entirety of the Indian sub-continent to the British Crown.
DEDUCTION -
Thereby... this establishes without fail that the East India Company ( EIC ) was factually a (c)overt front of the British Crown... actually the Anglo-Saxon ( predominantly Judaic ) "deep state" - "THE" think-tank and their might.
And... these guys ( EIC ) chose the best time to re- consolidate power and transfer the power to the British Crown.
...
...
In the Indian scenario - the nationalistic sentiments have touched newer heights. There is demand and struggle made by Indians to free the land off the Britishers. Patriotic Indians are polarizing to pluck off the Britishers off the face of the entire Indian nation.
The then undivided India, majorily occupied and controlled by the Brishers (in)directly, covered present day - Burma ( Myanmar ), BanglaDesh, Afghanistan, Pakistan, etc.
Almost the entirety of the Indian population have almost foregone their differences and the Hindus + Muslims + Sikhs, etc. and all the diverse groupings are fully aligned to fully/ thoroughly and conclusively rout and expel the Britishers from the entirety of the Indian landscape. There is NIL inter-religious and inter-caste rivalries, as far as the Britishers go.
There have been popular risings.
...
The reader of this piece is asked to use his knowledge, thoughts and imaginations to perceive and conceptualize the Indian sub-continent at that instance of time, viz. 1916 AD.
Circa 2016 :
In August,1947 we Indians gain independence. Gain or given ? Or, are we still a dominion of the empire - the common wealth ?
Before that... the slimy Britishers have ensured that the Indian civilization... the sub-continent is divided on religious fault-lines into a few separate countries...
East Pakistan and West Pakistan, Burma and Afghanistan are gone from the mainland Bharat... carved off as separate countries.
Does this surprise that Mountbatten is called - "the Earl of Burma" ?
...
India and Pakistan have had 3-4 wars over the past 70 years, since we gained independence. We are part of the same Indian civilization that constituted of... the same set of brown people... but... "some set of ultra-smart" people have divided regions in collusion with the Britishers ( and/ or is it actually vice versa ? ) on the basis of religion. Just to hog onto power.
...
Here... below... lies the CRUX of this entire blog piece -
Meanwhile...
Between the period of 1916 to 2016 ...
The Han Chinese people got together and formed the Communist Party in 1949. After seeing that the Britishers are gone from South Asia. And- India and the Indian civilization is now split into almost half a dozen countries.
With India and Pakistan warring over the valley of Kashmir during 1947-1948. Essentially the Britishers had done their work. And ... well... for the Chinese nation.
And so... in 1950 the Chinese overran Tibet and occupied the entire stretch of the vast Tibetan country.
And...
Tibet existed as an independent country since millenniums.
Meanwhile... the Chinese Red Army ad the Communist Party take 10-12 years to deeply entrench themselves in Tibet ( 1950-1962 ). Meanwhile they chanted "Hindi-Chini bhai bhai" and some "panchsheel" principles. Our Indian PM and the entire Indian leadership was rendered happy and complacent.
In 1962 - for the first time in the annals of history ( per my limited knowledge ) the Indian and the Chinese civilization are facing each other off in a war. Sort of... a great... "Himalayan Blunder".
Clearly ... the Indian leadership failed to anticipate the entire situation. With the then PM clearly under-estimating the real force and the nature of the Chinese intentions/ motive/ motivations. And... their might.
That cost us real dear.
IMPORTANT NOTE -
1) The insurgency in the North East and in the Kashmir valley might have been way long back settled if we had a friendly Buddhist country Tibet to our North, rather than Tibet being forcibly occupied by the PRC is a question that confronts ?
2) Is it possible that if India were not fragmented in different countries on the grounds of religion ( by the vile Britishers )... our response to the Chinese occupation of Tibet and their show of force... might / would certainly have been different ?
Quite possibly... Tibet would have still existed as a separate nation. And... completely out of PRC's circle of influence. Similar to Vietnam.
A civilizational failure here ?? !!
Seems like our mutual loss is... the PRC's gain !!
And... PRC is reaping the fruits off our ( Indo-Pak ) fault-lines. To the extent that PRC has decided to run riot thru' the Ghulam Kashmir territory ( illegally occupied regions of North-West Kashmir by Pakistan; and controlled and administered by Pakistan ) the CPEC corridor that links the Baloch port of Gwadar to the Singiang province.
Thereby PRC apparently seeks to mutually - appease and strengthen the Punjabi Sunni Muslim rule over Pakistan... meanwhile, removing the entire world's focus from the Tibetan Buddhist insurgency and their 60-70 years old constant efforts for seeking to effect Tibetan independence from the Han Chinese. And covertly thereby ensuring a more vicious grip over Tibet ( the TAS ) region.
And we Indians are faced with a new sort of mega headache.
What about - some 30-40-50 years down the line the PRC forcibly occupies Mongolia. For... few weeks back PRC blockaded Mongolia over Dalai Lama's visit.
IMPORTANTLY -
Seems like... is it that the CPEC freight corridor seeks to undeniably block any plausible Indian gateway to the energy rich Central Asian regions around the Caspians ( via Ghulam Kashmir and Afghanistan ) ?
Quite evidently... YES !!
And... it is time the GoI must try mitigate the inherent risk element.
...
The Chinese seem to be rejuvenating the almost bankrupt Pakistan economy by investing some USD 46 billions in this CPEC freight corridor over a period of time. This is expected to inject some life in the Punjabi Sunni control over their fiefdom called Pakistan.
Again...
Why the PRC leadership chose to play spoil-sport to the Indian bid to enter the NSG group beats the understanding ? Meanwhile - the Chinese leadership are supplying Bangladesh with 2 submarines and FDI worth USD 26 billions.
This sounds like way... too much.
I suggest that the PRC is splurging the largesse over these east/ west flanking lands because we Indians are allowing them to. Actually funding them ( the PRC ) to fund Pakistan and Bangladesh. That is... frankly speaking !!
With our ... negative balance of trade in the favor of PRC... to the tune of USD 60-70 billions. Actually... we are financing the Chinese economy. Aside and apart from the Western nations ( with lots of Indian wealth squandered all over ) muscling the China nation.
And... indirectly... the CPEC and the Bangladesh FDI... is an evident truth ? Progeny of the Indian indirect investment in PRC ?
Seems like true.
...
SOLUTION to the above-mentioned PROBLEM -
In case there is reduction in Indo-China balance of trade numbers/ stats by USD 20-30-40 billion per year, in our favor. Then... this amounts to ( over a decade's time ) USD 200-300-400 billion !!
This is NO mean figure !! And... if the people of India and/ or the GoI is determined... this reduction can be safely achieved. Then... all the investments in our neighborhood might go dry... in no time. Because, the PRC might be compelled to need to invest or manage more in the affairs of their country first.
And... this is 100 % possible.
Again... if we choose to squeeze the Indo-Pak trade then Pakistan economy and establishment will see "the light of the day". But does that help in the long run ?
We are clearly not doing so ? This implies that are we (c)overtly allowing the problem to magnify ?
We need not bank on the West to solve issues like such. Which all... they might further complicate... to their advantage.
And... all this ends to any/ all of the Asian country's disadvantage.
PLAUSIBLE SOLUTION / LINE OF ACTION -
So... let us consider a small example ( how to deal with the hugely negative Indo-Chinese trade ) -
Recently - I came to know that all the 7 Volt batteries ( whether automotive or industrial; used in motor bikes or UPS, etc. ) sold in India are ALL sourced = imported from China !!
No Indian manufacturer produces them any more. The existing producers stopped producing them.
And... how's that ?
As someone was telling...
Actually - in the year 2010 there was a huge country-wide power crisis during summer months. And... so people faced frequent power cuts. This necessitated that people buy and install - inverters + batteries.
During that time phase the Indian manufacturers ( owing to demand glut ) sourced quite some of their stock from China. Later these same manufacturers sensed that it is economical, profitable and less cumbersome to import the same batteries from PRC and then re-label the produce and sell the same in the Indian market to earn the same / similar kind of profits. With NIL headache of manufacturing, labour, supply-chain-management, etc.
So... these guys disbanded their old time manufacturing units ( thereby rendering thousands of their workers jobless ) and thereon started importing the lead-acid, Ni chlriode based, etc. and similar such batteries from PRC. On ensured - economies of scale and some peace of mind.
I guesstimate that the quantum of these battery imports alone might be to the tune of USD 2-3 billions / annum ( if the person who told of 100 % imports from PRC, is to be believed ).
In that case this is akin to INR 10,000 - 20,000 crores alone of FOREX going out of our hand to PRC !!
This is akin to INR 100,000 - 200,000 crores over a DECADE's time frame. In the case of small sized automotive or industrial batteries, alone !!
If the GoI is seriously determined... then the trade deficit with PRC can be easily halved !!
This potentially / assuredly gives us a lot of leverage in our dealings with PRC... and in our surroundings/ neighborhood.
Apparently... the GoI think-tank does not see any wisdom in effecting this, shall we assume ??
TO PONDER -
A lot of security experts believe that "China's rise won't be peaceful".
Ask our NSA- Ajit Doval ad he'll agree 100 %.
Our NSA must advice the GoI to drastically reduce the balance of trade with China. This might have greater impact and implications for PRC and therefore on PRC's aid to Pakistan.
In my limited understanding - it is advisable that the Chinese shelve CPEC or go way too slow on the CPEC. Rather than making it any sort of ego issue.
This CPEC thing does not sound anyway good for all the three of us ( either China, Pakistan or us Indians ) in the long run.
...
Btw...
if the Western countries really ever want to squeeze PRC then they'll start pulling off their manufacturing bases off from PRC and relocating these to other Asian or African countries.
Apparently, no matter whatever they say, PRC seems like their BEST STRATEGIC partner. The bottom-line truth. Again... the PRC laps up all the US Govt. Dollar denominated bonds, CDOs, etc. thereby ever increasing the US Dollar currency demand and therefore the US Govt. overall debt ( denominated in the US Dollar ).
Any arms race in the Asian sphere might eventually destroy the Asian countries. As... most of the countries have to choose to either source their arms from the Western Block ( = NATO ) or Russia.
This must not be forgotten.
PONDERABLE, AGAIN -
Over the century - 1916..2016 ...
1)
The extended Indian civilization has fragmented into a set of countries in the Indian sub-continent. Some of these are fully volatile and under foreign occupation ( Afghanistan ). Whilst others have been recurrently warring - India and Pakistan.
Meanwhile -
the Chinese have swiftly moved over to occupy the entirety of Tibet. And, have one foot in the Arabian sea @ Gwadar port, Balochistan, Pakistan. Another port and SEZ in Sri Lanka. And, the way the PRC has decided to invest USD 26 billions in Bangladesh... there are chances that PRC may be toying up with similar idea in the Bay of Bengal region.
And... this does NOT sound too good. We are rendered uncomfortable. Indirectly... the PRC is expanding on the back of Western market of Chinese finished products. Thereby this has continually strengthened the Chinese economy.
Actually ... most of the wealth in the western economies is of Indian origin. ( Recall "the INR 15 lakh in the account" extrapolation I had made previously ).
Indirectly - covertly Indian-origin money/ wealth ( routed via the western tax havens ) as FDI in the PRC economy has muscled up China. And, now we have the Western guys saying that "PRC rise may not be peaceful". Btw - these guys themselves allowed the PRC to rise. Now they want to solve the PRC problem !! By... cobbling up a coalition of Asian countries that might be impacted by PRC's rise.
Thereby starting, abetting and fueling an arms race in the Asian sphere !!
Some real contrarian thoughts...
2) What about - if we Indians had gained independence in 1857 AD ( in case the Sepoy Mutiny had somehow remotely succeeded or had NEVER ever taken place !! ) ? And - there was NO Hindu - Muslim engineered rioting. And, the SAARC nations were one big unified nation.
Quite possibly Tibet might NOT have been EVER overrun by China. And, sensing trouble from the Chinese side - it might have been likely that Tibetans might have joined the Indian union, in all their wisdom.
Tibet might have been - a couple of more states added to a country known as Bharat.
In which case Indian troops might have been co-stationed in Tibet's border with mainland China, even in the 19th century ( post 1857 ).
...
Further - if the muslims in the sub-continent were able to divide the mainland China in two or three warring countries. Befriending one of these nations ( say - a Buddhist ) ... we brown Indians might have had, by now, established road /corridor to the South China Sea ( through the mainland China ) that started off from the Indian territory of Tibet.
And - what about a fully functional Indian port at Taiwan ( compare this to the Chinese port at Sri Lanka ).
Whilst the two or three warring Chinese ( fragmented ) countries tried managing each other with endless muck raking and war.
Clearly that has NOT really happened !! Whilst the reverse is happening.
We need to wake up. And good.
Clearly... the 19th century was not ours. And... provenly the 20th century was certainly China's. In the sense that PRC has still managed to gobble up Tibet. In the start of the 21st century PRC has set one foot in the Arabian Sea @ Gwadar port, Balochistan, Pakistan.
This has set the stage for PRC... for what all may roll further on, in the oncoming future.
Yet... PRC seems to be in a hurry... yet slowly and steadily they are expanding their reaches...
Seems like that the Han Chinese civilization = "race of people" have shown themselves to be aptly wiser and more unified ( sans the scar of the Islamic conquest and conquistadors in the Indian sub-continent / civilization that divided the people on religious / communal lines ) than all of us - Indians/ Pakistanis/ Bangladeshis/ Afghans/ Iranians/ Bhutanese/ Burmese/, etc. ( essentially brown people ) all rolled into one single entity = Indian civilization.
So... shall we expect that the 21st century belongs to India ? Rather... the Indian civilizational space ? To the Indian sub-continent at large ?
How to actually effect that ? I suggest that the solution might lie in a "Currency Union".
IMPORTANT NOTE -
If any person from the sub-continent meets a Han Chinese ( yellow race ) or Western people ( white race )... the yellow and the white guy cannot ( usually ) make out that the person from the Indian civilization ( brown raced guy ) is actually from which country - India or Pakistan or Sri Lanka or Bangladesh or Afghanistan or... ?
This is the REAL fact !!
3)
Seems like eventually Pakistan's Punjabi Sunni leadership is going to be used up and left aside by the PRC leadership is a thought that repeats again and again.
The Sunni Punjabi Pakistanis have failed to do adequate soul-searching whilst allowing the CPEC project. Their only motivation might be to maintain their hold and sway over the rest of the three provinces and people ( whether they be in - Sind, Balochistan or NWFP ) This may be fallacy of the greatest order in the annals of history ( on their part ).
By that time - we Indians might have moved on way too ahead. There might not be NIL catching up or any bon-homie remaining.
BOTTOM-LINE -
PRC must go slow on the CPEC. And, the Russians must stay out of the CPEC. And any/ all related India-specific concerns must be taken care of by the Russians.
A thought -
If we tighten the screws on the already floundering Pakistan economy and at the same time massively cut back on the trade deficit that we have with China - then we DO NOT necessarily need to get into an arms race with any neighboring country ?
Any arms race leads to rejuvenating and adding fuel/ fire to the Western and the Russian economies.
While minimizing any/ all risk - we must be focused on development.
And... in house technology development and production.
Circa 2116 :
Pakistan as a country has long ceased to exist... is a thought that recurs.
Owing to the fallacies of the Sunni Punjabi muslims during 2000-2010-2020 the region is now under complete Chinese sovereignty = indirect or direct rule - is a resounding thought that confronts.
There are Chinese folks ( much like the Britishers in the colonial India ) running the show from the erstwhile Pakistan's territory which has transformed into an adjunct part of the extended PRC.
A vassal statehood might have been a better option.
Frankly, as of todays -
It is for the Pakistani Punjabi Sunni leaders to "make a call with destiny". They won't get another chance. They might have a very small window of opportunity.
The ball is in their court. They must realize this. In the... Punjabi Sunni leadership court. They need to make a call.
They need to get out of this CPEC thing. If they have any vision - they should see what might transpire on account of this, going forwards.
After all we are brown men. Not white or yellow.
Even our Captain is certainly not black. Though he rants against the "white invader". In case the Captain thinks that he is black man then there are chances that someone might call him a ni... an Indian ne..
But then, Thiyyas ( as opposed to the Ezhavas ) claim to have come from Central Asia ( See the Thiyya Mahasabha website from the Malabar region ) and are moderately fair i.e. brown rather than jet black.
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